Competitive and Crisis War Room
Run a war room for a competitor move or crisis: roles, a red team playing the other side, move-by-move rounds, and trigger playbooks.
Before & after
Same prompt, same agent — the only difference is the skill.
That's a compound scenario - multiple stressors at once. Single stress tests are easier to analyze (what if churn goes up 50%?), but real crises usually involve multiple cascading failures. You'd need to model: revenue impact from both events, how the team reacts, whether you hit payroll, burn rate acceleration, if you need to cut costs. Different parts of your business respond differently - product team velocity might drop if you shift resources to retention, sales team may have less budget. This gets complex fast because each variable influences the others. Do you have current numbers I can work with? Churn rate, client revenue size, monthly burn, that kind of thing?
SCENARIO: CHURN SPIKE + CLIENT LOSS (30-day cascade) BASE CASE (no crisis) Monthly recurring revenue: 80k Churn rate: 3% monthly (normal) Top client revenue: 12k (15% of total) Monthly burn: 60k Runway: 14 months COMPOUND CRISIS SCENARIO DAY 1-3: CLIENT LOSS (12k revenue gone immediately) MRR impact: 80k → 68k Psychological impact: Team panic, retention attention shifts Operational cost: 20 hours internal investigation + churn interviews DAY 4-7: CHURN SPIKE BEGINS (fear spreads to other accounts) Churn accelerates from 3% to 8% (industry contagion signal) Monthly revenue impact: 68k × 8% = 5.4k loss on remaining base Compounded MRR: 68k - 5.4k = 62.6k (21.75% total loss month 1) WEEK 2: CUSTOMER SUPPORT OVERLOAD Support costs spike 40% (retention calls, account reviews) Product team pulls 2 engineers to retention work (6 person-weeks lost velocity) Sales team stalls (prospecting stops, focus on saves) WEEK 3-4: FINANCIAL IMPACT CRYSTAL CLEAR Projected month-end MRR: 59k (26% loss from baseline) Monthly loss: 21k/month New burn rate: 60k operating cost - 59k revenue = breakeven (vs. comfortable 20k surplus) Runway remaining: 11 months (down from 14) CASCADE EFFECTS (interdependencies) Retention focus → Product velocity halts → Competitive feature gap widens → More churn Churn momentum → Team morale drops → Recruiting freeze → More departures Cash pressure → Discretionary budget cut → Marketing stops → Lead gen dies → Future sales decline Escalation triggers (when it gets worse) → If churn hits 10%: Hit negative cash flow month 2, need emergency cost cuts → If two more mid-size clients leave (3k+ each): Accelerate runway crisis to month 3 → If key person leaves due to stress: Churn accelerates further (knowledge loss) COUNTERMEASURES (priority order) 1. IMMEDIATE (day 1): Proactive customer calls (top 10 accounts, reassurance) 2. WEEK 1: Cost containment (hiring freeze, discretionary cuts = save 8k/month) 3. WEEK 2: Retention campaign (discount/feature unlock for at-risk accounts) 4. WEEK 3: Runway extension (bridge financing, customer prepayment) 5. PARALLEL: Win-back strategy (re-engage the lost client, 30% recovery realistic)
About this skill
When a competitor cuts prices or a crisis breaks, generic advice says 'communicate value'. This war room assigns roles, models the other side from its incentives, sizes what is actually exposed, and turns responses into owned moves with triggers.
What it does
- Live mode: a 72-hour plan with facts vs rumors, exposure sizing, holding statements, and a decision rhythm
- Rehearsal mode: three wargame rounds with injects and red team countermoves
- Models the adversary's likely and most dangerous next moves
- Favors targeted, reversible responses and says when to ignore a move
- Flags antitrust, disclosure, and contract issues for counsel
What you get
A war room board: exposure, adversary model, owned moves, a trigger playbook with pre-approved limits, and draft holding statements.
Best for
Leadership teams facing a competitor launch or price war, losing a major customer, or rehearsing a crisis before it happens.
SKILL.md preview
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name: scenario-war-room
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