Market-First Venture and PMF Verdict
Get a blunt build, narrow, test, or stop verdict based on buyer demand, retention, distribution, and explicit confidence.
Before & after
Same prompt, same agent — the only difference is the skill.
That's an important question to think through. You'd want to consider market size, whether there's real demand, your competitive advantage, whether you have the skills or team to execute. There's always some risk with any venture, and different people will evaluate ideas differently. What's the idea? Do you have any customer validation yet?
Delivers MARKET-FIRST VERDICT with STRONGEST COUNTERARGUMENT first: the reason the market might be dead or small. MARKET SIZE CHECK: total addressable market, target niche defensibility, time-to-PMF realism. TEAM-VERSUS-PRODUCT-VERSUS-MARKET hierarchy: what's your biggest weakness: hiring, product risk, or market timing. CONFIDENCE LEVEL: high/medium/low, with specific reasoning, and KILL CRITERIA: what would prove the bet wrong. No hedging, no disclaimers, no sycophancy. Uses explicit conviction levels. Closes the strategic sprint loop. Not for polite brainstorming. For serious go/no-go calls. Activates automatically when the request matches andreessen.
About this skill
You have demos, encouraging conversations, and a growing feature list, but still cannot tell whether anyone needs what you are building. This skill leads with the strongest reason the idea could fail, separates market evidence from activity, and gives a direct build, narrow, test, or stop verdict with explicit confidence.
What it does
- Tests whether a specific buyer has an urgent problem, a budget, and a reason to switch from their current workaround.
- Evaluates product-market fit through segment-level retention, repeat use, payment, and customer pull.
- Challenges misleading signals such as waitlists, subsidized usage, cumulative signups, and founder-driven sales.
- Designs the smallest demand test with a decision threshold, deadline, and resource cap.
- Assesses whether a promising market has a reachable entry point and workable customer economics.
- Converts the decision into a three-priority daily card and an anti-todo log of completed work.
What you get
A concise verdict with the strongest counterargument, confidence level, evidence gaps, and the next test that could change the decision. For execution requests, you get a daily priority card tied to the venture's current bottleneck.
Best for
Founders, solo builders, product leads, and independent professionals deciding what to build, whether traction is real, or where to spend their next week.
SKILL.md preview
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name: market-first-venture-and-pmf-verdict
description: Pressure-tests ventures, features, and career bets by examining buyer demand before product quality, separating traction from product-market fit, and issuing a confidence-labeled verdict with a bounded next test. Also turns that verdict into a three-priority card and anti-todo log. Use when the user says "should I build this", "is there a market for this", "are we at product-market fit", "pressure-test this idea", "people love the demo but nobody buys", "we keep adding features and growth is flat", "be blunt about this venture", or "help me choose today's three priorities".
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# Market-First Venture and PMF Verdict
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